California Healthline: Then vs. Now: How Dire Predictions About Obamacare (Mostly) Didn’t Come To Pass

by Dan Diamond

It may be too soon to know if the Affordable Care Act is making Americans healthier. But there’s a smattering of data that suggests the law is making the health care industry healthier, at least.

A tracker indicates that newly insured patients aren’t overwhelming doctors.

A batch of anecdotal reports suggests that hospitals’ uncompensated care spending is falling.

And a survey of physicians finds that — while many doctors are upset about the law’s added complexity — they’re generally happy with the pay that they’re seeing through the ACA’s new marketplace plans.

Taken together, the slew of upbeat reports for the industry isn’t surprising. (The law was expected to bolster the health care sector by growing the number of insured Americans.) But the positive findings are in contrast to a dire batch of predictions that accompanied the ACA’s bumpy rollout across the past year, when the entire law sometimes seemed to be on shaky ground.

Here’s a quick look back at several of those predictions, and how early findings are bearing them out — or not.

How Obamacare Would Affect Patient Demand

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  • LAAAC is managed by St. Barnabas Senior Services; Funded, in part, by Archstone Foundation.
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